Thursday, 1 August 2019

BRECON BY-ELECTION LATEST ODDS

As Brecon and Radnorshire goes to the polls the Lib Dems are odds on favourites to take the seat from the Tories.  This would not be a great result for Brexit as the incumbent is a member of the ERG and it would replace a Leave voting MP with a Remain voter.  The Tories could have potentially avoided this scenario if they had ditched the disgraced Chris Davies with another Brexiteer candidate (and then agreed a deal with the Brexit Party, as the Lib Dems did with Plaid).  If, as expected, the Lib Dems take this seat then the Tories have only themselves to blame.

Latest odds

Ladbrokes - Lib Dems 1/8, Tories 5/1, Brexit Party 100/1, Labour 100/1
Unibet - Lib Dems 1/10, Tories 5/1, Brexit Party 40/1, Labour 50/1
Coral - Lib Dems 1/8, Tories 5/1, Brexit Party 100/1, Labour 100/1
bet365 - Lib Dems 1/9, Tories 5/1, Brexit Party 80/1, Labour 500/1

Brecon & Radnorshire by-election candidates
Chris Davies (Con)
Tom Davies (Lab)
Jane Dodds (LD)
Des Parkinson (Brexit)
Liz Phillips (UKIP)
Lady Lily Pink (Loony)

2017 General Election result

Chris Davies (Con) 20,081
James Gibson-Watt (LD) 12,043
Dan Lodge (Lab) 7,335
Kate Heneghan (Plaid) 1,299
Peter Gilbert (UKIP) 576