Thursday, 14 November 2019

IN FOCUS: SHEFFIELD

The Steel City contains five Parliamentary constituencies inside its boundaries.  A sixth seat - Penistone and Stocksbridge - overlaps Sheffield and Barnsley, consisting of three council wards from each.  At the 2017 general election all six seats returned Labour MPs, but two of whom have since resigned from the party.


Population (2018 est):  582,506
City Council:  Labour, since 2011
Composition:  Labour (49 cllrs), Lib Dem (26), Green (8), Ind (1)
Ethnic make-up (2011):  white 88.1%, Asian 6.8%, black 2.5%, mixed 1.9%, other 0.7%
EU referendum:  51% Leave
Largest Parliamentary majority:  Sheffield Central (Paul Blomfield, Lab) majority 27,748
Smallest Parliamentary majority:  Penistone & Stocksbridge (Angela Smith, Lib Dem*) majority 1,322

* Elected as a Labour MP

The 2017 general election turned Sheffield 100% red for the first time in history, having finally taken the seat of Hallam.  The Lib Dems had held Hallam for twenty years up to that point, before which it was a Conservative seat.  Hallam will be one to watch in the forthcoming election, as will Penistone & Stocksbridge.  The Lib Dems will look to retake Hallam and the Tories will have their eye on Penistone, although the presence of a Brexit Party candidate could prevent a Tory gain there.

Sheffield City Council was fought over by Labour and the Lib Dems for more than a decade before Labour took decisive control in 2011.  The Lib Dems remain the main opposition party and there are no Conservative councillors.

Sheffield is part of another layer of local government, the Sheffield City Region.  This is headed by an elected mayor - Labour's Dan Jarvis.  Jarvis is a controversial figure, having refused to give up his seat in Parliament when he took on the role.  This has led to him being called 'Two Jobs Jarvis'.  He will be defending his Barnsley Central seat again at the next election.

The city voted narrowly to Leave in 2016 and its constituencies are divided between strong Leave and strong Remain votes.  All the MPs elected in 2017 were Remainers.

Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough

Incumbent:  Gill Furniss (Lab), majority 19,143
Born:  Sheffield, 1957
First elected:  2016 (by-election)
Leave/Remain:  Remain, but voted to trigger Article 50
Notes:  Furniss is the widow of the previous MP Harry Harpham

Brightside & Hillsborough has been held by Labour since its creation in 2010

EU referendum:  60% Leave

General election 2017

Gill Furniss (Lab) 28,193 (67.3%) +10.8%
Michael Naughton (Con) 9,050 (21.6%) +10.6%
Shane Harper (UKIP) 2,645 (6.3%) -15.8%
Simon Clement-Jones (Lib Dem) 1,061 (2.5%) -2.0%
Christine Kubo (Green) 737 (1.8%) -2.5%
Mike Driver (Workers) 137 (0.3%) New
Muzafar Rahman (SDP) 47 (0.1%) New

BTLP general election prediction:  Lab HOLD

Sheffield Central

Incumbent:  Paul Blomfield (Lab), majority 27,748
Born:  Kent, 1953
First elected:  2010
Leave/Remain:  Remain, but voted to trigger Article 50
Notes:  Endorsed Owen Smith in the 2016 leadership challenge

Sheffield Central has been held by Labour since its creation in 1983

EU referendum:  68% Remain, strongest Remain seat in Sheffield

General election 2017

Paul Blomfield (Lab) 33,963 (70.9%) +15.9%
Stephanie Roe (Con) 6,215 (13.0%) +1.8%
Natalie Bennett (Green) 3,848 (8.0%) -7.8%
Shaffaq Mohammed (Lib Dem) 2,465 (5.1%) -4.5%
Dominic Cook (UKIP) 1,060 (2.2%) -5.2%
Jack Carrington (Yorkshire) 197 (0.4%) New
Rob Moran (Pirate) 91 (0.2%) New
Joe Westnidge (SDP) 38 (0.1%) New

BTLP general election prediction:  Lab HOLD

Sheffield Hallam

Incumbent:  Jared O'Mara (Ind), majority 2,125
Born:  Sheffield, 1981
First elected:  2017, as a Labour MP
Leave/Remain:  Remain
Notes:  O'Mara was not expected to win the seat and it was one of the biggest shocks on election night.  He suffers from various health problems including cerebral palsy.  He didn't make his maiden speech in the Commons until July 2018, more than a year after he was elected.  He was the final MP to do so.  He was suspended by Labour in October 2017 over misogynistic and homophobic comments, but the party announced in July 2018 that he would be reinstated.  However, he resigned from the party days later and clung onto his seat as an independent.  He will not stand in the forthcoming election.
Scandals:  Online comments, treatment of staff, Twitter hijack, sexual harassmentfraud arrest

Hallam has been held by Labour since 2017, before which it was held by the Lib Dems since 1997.  Between 1918 and 1997 the seat was held by the Conservatives.

EU referendum:  66% Remain

General election 2017

Jared O'Mara (Lab) 21,881 (38.4%) +2.6%
Nick Clegg (Lib Dem) 19,756 (34.7%) -5.3%
Ian Walker (Con) 13,561 (23.8%) +10.2%
John Thurley (UKIP) 929 (1.6%) -4.8%
Logan Robin (Green) 823 (1.4%) -1.8%
Steven Winstone (SDP) 70 (0.1%) New

BTLP general election prediction:  Lib Dem GAIN

Sheffield Heeley

Incumbent:  Louise Haigh (Lab), majority 13,828
Born:  Sheffield, 1987
First elected:  2015
Leave/Remain:  Remain, but voted to trigger Article 50
Notes:  Shadow Minister of State for Policing.  Endorsed Owen Smith in the 2016 leadership challenge.

Heeley has been held by Labour since 1974

EU referendum:  57% Leave

General election 2017

Louise Haigh (Lab) 26,524 (60.0%) +11.8%
Gordon Gregory (Con) 12,696 (28.7%) +12.6%
Joe Otten (Lib Dem) 2,022 (4.6%) -6.7%
Howard Denby (UKIP) 1,977 (4.5%) -12.9%
Declan Walsh (Green) 943 (2.1%) -4.0%
Jaspreet Oberoi (SDP) 64 (0.1%) New

BTLP general election prediction:  Lab HOLD

Sheffield South East

Incumbent:  Clive Betts (Lab), majority 11,798
Born:  Sheffield, 1950
First elected:  1992
Leave/Remain:  Remain, but voted to trigger Article 50
Notes:  Elected for Sheffield Attercliffe in 1992, his third attempt to enter Parliament.  Suspended from Parliament for seven days in 2003 over the Brazilian male escort scandal.  Endorsed Owen Smith in the 2016 leadership challenge.
Scandals:  Brazilian male escort visa, expenses scandal, McDonalds trip

Sheffield South East has been held by Labour since its creation in 2010.  Its predecessor seat (Sheffield Attercliffe) was held by Labour from 1935.

EU referendum:  66% Leave, strongest Leave seat in Sheffield

General election 2017

Clive Betts (Lab) 25,520 (58.5%) +7.1%
Lindsey Cawrey (Con) 13,722 (31.5%) +14.1%
Dennise Dawson (UKIP) 2,820 (6.5%) -15.4%
Colin Ross (Lib Dem) 1,432 (3.3%) -2.1%
Ishleen Oberoi (SDP) 102 (0.2%) New

BTLP general election prediction:  Lab HOLD

Penistone & Stocksbridge

Incumbent:  Angela Smith (Lib Dem), majority 1,322
Born:  Grimsby, 1961
First elected:  2005, as a Labour MP
Leave/Remain:  Remain, abstained in the vote on triggering Article 50
Notes:  She represented Sheffield Hillsborough from 2005 until it was abolished in the 2010 boundary changes, after which she switched to the new seat of Penistone & Stocksbridge.  A vocal opponent of Jeremy Corbyn, she endorsed Owen Smith in the 2016 leadership election.  In February 2019 she quit Labour along with six other MPs and was a founder member of Change UK.  In September she joined the Liberal Democrats, but will contest Altrincham & Sale West in Cheshire at the next election.
Scandals:  Expenses scandal, funny tinge

Penistone & Stocksbridge was held by Labour from its creation in 2010.  The seat of Penistone on which its boundaries are similar was held by Labour from 1935 to its abolition in 1983.

EU referendum:  61% Leave

General election 2017

Angela Smith (Lab) 22,807 (45.8%) +3.8%
Nicola Wilson (Con) 21,485 (43.2%) +15.5%
John Booker (UKIP) 3,453 (6.9%) -16.0%
Penny Baker (Lib Dem) 2,042 (4.1%) - 2.2%

BTLP general election prediction:  Con GAIN


NEXT WEEK:  Liverpool

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