Thursday, 5 May 2022

ELECTION 2022


HEADLINES

- Labour have lost control of Croydon London Borough Council to no overall control, meaning they have achieved a net gain of zero London councils
- Labour lose second London council as Lutfur Rahman's Aspire Party take Tower Hamlets
- Sinn Fein are the largest party in the Northern Ireland Assembly, DUP finish second
- Counting complete in Wales, Labour top the poll and Tories lose more than 80 seats
- Only Croydon and Tower Hamlets councils left to declare
- Controversial ex-Labour leader of Tower Hamlets, Lutfur Rahman, elected mayor of Tower Hamlets for his Aspire Party
- Plaid gain Anglesey, Carmarthenshire and Ceredigion from no overall control
- Labour gain Bridgend, Crawley, Kirklees, Rossendale and Worthing from no overall control
- Lib Dems gain Gosport Borough Council, which had been Conservative since 2010
- Counting complete in Scotland, Labour has overtaken the Conservatives to finish second behind the SNP
- Conservatives gain Harrow London Borough Council, which had been Labour since 2014
- Labour lose control of Hastings, Hyndburn and Neath Port Talbot to no overall control
- Conservatives lose control of Castle Point, Huntingdonshire, Maidstone, Monmouthshire, West Oxfordshire, Wokingham and Worcester to no overall control
- Durham Constabulary to investigate alleged Covid breaches by Keir Starmer
- Boris Johnson: "Tough night for Conservatives in some parts of the country"
- Keir Starmer in Barnet: "We are back on track for the general election"
- Lib Dems and Greens making gains in England and Scotland
- Counting now under way in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
- Labour gain Westminster London Borough Council, which had been Conservative since its foundation in 1964
- Labour gain Barnet London Borough Council, which had been Conservative since 2002
- Labour making moderate gains, Conservatives losing seats as expected
- Labour regain Southampton City Council from the Conservatives, a year after they lost power
- Bristol votes to scrap its elected mayor in a referendum
- Labour gain Wandsworth London Borough Council, which had been Conservative since 1974
- Lib Dems regain Hull City Council, which had been Labour since 2011

COUNCIL SEATS

Lab = 3,071 (+109)
Con = 1,368 (-485)
LDem = 867 (+225)
Ind = 613 (+17)
SNP = 453 (+22)
Plaid = 202 (-6)
Grn = 157 (+86)

LONDON BOROUGH COUNCILS

All council seats up for re-election

Barking and Dagenham - Lab HOLD
Barnet - Lab GAIN from Con
Bexley - Con HOLD
Brent - Lab HOLD
Bromley - Con HOLD
Camden - Lab HOLD
Croydon - NOC GAIN from Lab
Ealing - Lab HOLD
Enfield - Lab HOLD
Greenwich - Lab HOLD
Hackney - Lab HOLD
Hammersmith and Fulham - Lab HOLD
Haringey - Lab HOLD
Harrow - Con GAIN from Lab
Havering - NOC HOLD
Hillingdon - Con HOLD
Hounslow - Lab HOLD
Islington - Lab HOLD
Kensington and Chelsea - Con HOLD
Kingston - LDem HOLD
Lambeth - Lab HOLD
Lewisham - Lab HOLD
Merton - Lab HOLD
Newham - Lab HOLD
Redbridge - Lab HOLD
Richmond-upon-Thames - LDem HOLD
Southwark - Lab HOLD
Sutton - LDem HOLD
Tower Hamlets - Aspire GAIN from Lab
Waltham Forest - Lab HOLD
Wandsworth - Lab GAIN from Con
Westminster - Lab GAIN from Con

ENGLAND COUNCILS

All council seats up for re-election

Birmingham - Lab HOLD
Bury - Lab HOLD
Gosport - LDem GAIN from Con
Huntingdonshire - NOC GAIN from Con
Newcastle-under-Lyme - Con HOLD
Reading - Lab HOLD
Rochdale - Lab HOLD
St Albans - LDem HOLD
St Helens - Lab HOLD
South Cambridgeshire - LDem HOLD

Half of council seats up for re-election

Adur - Con HOLD
Cheltenham - LDem HOLD
Fareham - Con HOLD
Hastings - NOC GAIN from Lab
Nuneaton and Bedworth - Con HOLD
Oxford - Lab HOLD

One third of council seats up for re-election

Amber Valley - Con HOLD
Barnsley - Lab HOLD
Basildon - Con HOLD
Basingstoke and Deane - Con HOLD
Blackburn with Darwen - Lab HOLD
Bolton - NOC HOLD
Bradford - Lab HOLD
Brentwood - Con HOLD
Broxbourne - Con HOLD
Burnley - NOC HOLD
Calderdale - Lab HOLD
Cambridge - Lab HOLD
Cannock Chase - Con HOLD
Castle Point - NOC GAIN from Con
Cherwell - Con HOLD
Chorley - Lab HOLD
Colchester - NOC HOLD
Coventry - Lab HOLD
Crawley - Lab GAIN from NOC
Derby - NOC HOLD
Dudley - Con HOLD
Eastleigh - LDem HOLD
Elmbridge - NOC HOLD
Epping Forest - Con HOLD
Exeter - Lab HOLD
Gateshead - Lab HOLD
Halton - Lab HOLD
Harlow - Con HOLD
Hart - NOC HOLD
Hartlepool - NOC HOLD
Havant - Con HOLD
Havering - NOC HOLD
Hull - LDem GAIN from Lab
Hyndburn - NOC GAIN from Lab
Ipswich - Lab HOLD
Kirklees - Lab GAIN from NOC
Knowsley - Lab HOLD
Leeds - Lab HOLD
Lincoln - Lab HOLD
Maidstone - NOC GAIN from Con
Manchester - Lab HOLD
Milton Keynes - NOC HOLD
Mole Valley - LDem HOLD
Newcastle-upon-Tyne - Lab HOLD
North East Lincolnshire - Con HOLD
North Hertfordshire - NOC HOLD
North Tyneside - Lab HOLD
Norwich - Lab HOLD
Oldham - Lab HOLD
Pendle - Con HOLD
Peterborough - NOC HOLD
Plymouth - NOC HOLD
Portsmouth - NOC HOLD
Preston - Lab HOLD
Redditch - Con HOLD
Reigate and Banstead - Con HOLD
Rochford - Con HOLD
Rossendale - Lab GAIN from NOC
Rugby - Con HOLD
Runnymede - Con HOLD
Rushmoor - Con HOLD
Salford - Lab HOLD
Sandwell - Lab HOLD
Sefton - Lab HOLD
Sheffield - NOC HOLD
Slough - Lab HOLD
Solihull - Con HOLD
Southampton - Lab GAIN from Con
Southend-on-Sea - NOC HOLD
South Tyneside - Lab HOLD
Stevenage - Lab HOLD
Stockport - NOC HOLD
Sunderland - Lab HOLD
Swindon - Con HOLD
Tameside - Lab HOLD
Tamworth - Con HOLD
Tandridge - NOC HOLD
Three Rivers - LDem HOLD
Thurrock - Con HOLD
Trafford - Lab HOLD
Tunbridge Wells - NOC HOLD
Wakefield - Lab HOLD
Walsall - Con HOLD
Watford - LDem HOLD
Welwyn Hatfield - Con HOLD
West Lancashire - NOC HOLD
West Oxfordshire - NOC GAIN from Con
Wigan - Lab HOLD
Winchester - LDem HOLD
Wirral - NOC HOLD
Woking - LDem GAIN from NOC
Wokingham - NOC GAIN from Con
Wolverhampton - Lab HOLD
Worcester - NOC GAIN from Con
Worthing - Lab GAIN from NOC

New councils

Cumberland - Lab GAIN
North Yorkshire - Con GAIN
Somerset - LDem GAIN
Westmorland and Furness - LDem GAIN

SCOTLAND COUNCILS

Final scoreboard

SNP = 453 (+22)
Lab = 282 (+20)
Con = 214 (-63)
Ind = 152 (-15)
LDem = 87 (+20)
Grn = 35 (+15)

All council seats were up for re-election

Scotland uses the single transferable vote (STV) method for elections, as a result of which local councils are harder to control by a single party.  All but three of Scotland's local authorities were in no overall control (NOC).  Na h-Eileanan Siar, Orkney and Shetland were held by independents.  Only two councils changed hands in this election.

Dundee - SNP GAIN from NOC
West Dunbartonshire - Lab GAIN from NOC

WALES COUNCILS

Final scoreboard

Lab = 524 (+67)
Ind = 314 (+6)
Plaid = 202 (-6)
Con = 111 (-86)
LDem = 69 (+11)
Grn = 8 (+8)

All council seats up were up for re-election

Anglesey - Plaid GAIN from NOC
Blaenau Gwent - Lab GAIN from Ind
Bridgend - Lab GAIN from NOC
Caerphilly - Lab HOLD
Cardiff - Lab HOLD
Carmarthenshire - Plaid GAIN from NOC
Ceredigion - Plaid GAIN from NOC
Conwy - NOC HOLD
Denbighshire - NOC HOLD
Flintshire - NOC HOLD
Gwynedd - Plaid HOLD
Merthyr Tydfil - NOC GAIN from Ind
Monmouthshire - NOC GAIN from Con
Neath Port Talbot - NOC GAIN from Lab
Newport - Lab HOLD
Pembrokeshire - NOC HOLD
Powys - NOC HOLD
Rhondda Cynon Taf - Lab HOLD
Swansea - Lab HOLD
Torfaen - Lab HOLD
Vale of Glamorgan - NOC HOLD
Wrexham - NOC HOLD

ELECTED MAYORS

The combined authority of South Yorkshire will elect a mayor for the second time.  The previous mayor - Labour's Dan Jarvis - has not sought re-election, having controversially retained his role as MP for Barnsley Central during his first term.

South Yorkshire - Lab HOLD

The mayoral post in Croydon is a new creation.

Croydon - Con GAIN
Hackney - Lab HOLD
Lewisham - Lab HOLD
Newham - Lab HOLD
Tower Hamlets - Aspire GAIN from Lab
Watford - LDem HOLD

BRISTOL MAYOR REFERENDUM

Bristol voted to scrap its elected mayor in a referendum.  Labour's Marvin Rees will serve out his current term, ending in 2024.

Committee System: 56,113 (59%)
Elected Mayor: 38,439 (41%)

NORTHERN IRELAND ASSEMBLY

Final scoreboard

SF = 27 (n/c)
DUP = 25 (-3)
APNI = 17 (+9)
UUP = 9 (-1)
SDLP = 8 (-4)
Ind = 2 (+1)
PBP = 1 (n/c)
TUV = 1 (n/c)
Grn = 0 (-2)

All 90 seats were up for re-election

Northern Ireland uses the single transferable vote (STV) method for elections, as a result of which each constituency returns five members from different parties.  Unionist candidates from three parties won 35 seats, with Republicans winning 36 also from three parties (this includes People Before Profit as their stance is one of a united Ireland).

PREDICTION

Left-leaning poll aggregators Britain Elects predicted a promising result for the Conservatives in the local elections, with a net loss of just 206 council seats.  They also predicted net Labour gains of around 147, which would present a disappointing night for Labour.  Earlier this week media outlets were awash with reports that the Tories were set to lose 550, 800 or even a thousand council seats.  Labour are currently leading in the opinion polls by around six per cent.

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