WOKE WEDNESDAYS #5

We were tempted to go with a Trump theme today, but the memes are endless right now as the left continue to melt down, so we opted for something else.

Incidentally, prior to Seth's appointment, Newcastle United banned a fan from their ground for social media posts about transgender people.  The fan is now taking legal action against the club, who took the Orwellian action after someone complained that: "If I were trans, I would feel extremely unsafe and incredibly discriminated towards had I had to share a space with someone openly transphobic".

This happened long before Labour introduced the Employment Rights Bill, in which employers will be made liable for speech from members of the public that may offend their staff.  Full on dystopia.

Last week's trans meme generated 25 comments and 32 shares on Facebook.

CAN HE? WILL HE?

He most certainly can, but whether Trump will win again remains to be seen.  Polling going into election day is so tight nothing is certain, with all of the seven crucial swing states polling well within the margin of error.  It is impossible to confidently call any one of them for either candidate.

The seven so-called swing states are as follows, with the electoral college votes in brackets.  A candidate requires 270 electoral college votes to win the election.

Pennsylvania (19)

Georgia (16)

North Carolina (16)

Michigan (15)

Arizona (11)

Wisconsin (10)

Nevada (6)

The importance of winning Pennsylvania cannot be understated.  If Harris wins Pennsylvania and the neighbouring Rust Belt states of Michigan and Wisconsin - in addition to all the traditional blue states the Democrats would normally expect to win - she will be the 47th US president.

However, there is a very good chance that Trump could flip one or more of those traditional blue states, nullifying Harris's Rust Belt route to victory, as long as he takes swing states elsewhere.

So what are the other states that could come into play?  The two most likely states to flip to the other side are Virginia (13) and New Hampshire (4).  Both states have seen some impressive polling for Trump and he even took time out from his tour of swing states to hold a surprise rally in Virginia on Saturday.  He confidently announced to the packed rally that he was going to flip the state on Tuesday.  Virginia has been a blue state since 2008, while New Hampshire has been blue since 2004.

If Trump wins a landslide victory, a third state he could flip is New Jersey (14), a state that has been blue since 1992.

Beyond those three states, it is hard to imagine any more states flipping.  Trump is expected to poll very well in New York state (28) and, again, he has stated he will flip it.  However, New York state has been a blue state since 1988 and Democrats have had a huge majority there at every presidential election since 1996.  Highly unlikely to flip, but if it did then Trump's victory would likely be huge.

In the pursuit of fairness we should mention Iowa (6).  Trump flipped Iowa from blue in 2016 and held it in 2020 with a bigger vote share.  On Sunday a shock poll showed Harris leading Trump by three percentage points in Iowa and this was widely circulated by the establishment media outlet CNN.  The timing and prominence given to the poll suggested that the left-wing oriented broadcaster was trying to distract its viewers from other demoralising polls suggesting Trump could flip states elsewhere.  Another intention was to potentially distract Republicans from the key battlegrounds of Pennsylvania and elsewhere.  In any case, all other polls carried out in Iowa during the same period showed Trump leading Harris by between four and ten points.

The outcome of the election is not likely to be known until late on Wednesday or possibly longer.  The longer it drags on the more questions will be asked about the validity of the election.  Some counties in states such as Arizona, Georgia and Nevada are saying they won't be able to verify results for several days, up to a week and more.  When one considers that all these counties are led by Democrats, it opens up very serious questions about the counting process.

Our own United Kingdom general elections are counted and the results announced within hours of polls closing.  Even India - a country of 1.5billion people - can declare their electoral results within 24 hours.  The 2020 US presidential election was a joke, and this latest election looks set to follow suit.  The words 'banana republic' spring to mind.

We know that the party of the globalists will cheat in order to maintain their grip on power, this is a given.  As conservatives and libertarians, we've got to hope that this one is too big to rig...

TOON TUESDAY #30

Thanks to Red Rachel's land grab budget, we will see our wonderful farmers fighting back against her net zero nanny state very soon.  Protests are planned for later this month - no farmers, no food!

Bob Moran on X

Matt Pritchett for The Daily Telegraph

With a very important election day over the Pond, this is how US conservative AF Branco sees it...

AN ELECTION OF WORLD IMPORTANCE

Many conservative commentators have called this election 'the most important in our lifetime' or even the most important in American history.  In actual fact, this election is much more important than that.

While it is well documented that Trump was the first US president in decades not to drag his country into a new foreign conflict, what is less well known is the fact that without him in the White House we are now closer to nuclear apocalypse than at any point since the end of the Cold War.  When Putin talks about 'red lines' do we take him seriously or keep provoking him by crossing those lines?  Let's not forget that Putin's invasion of Ukraine only came about through decades of NATO provocation.  Who is to say he would not 'push the button', especially if he felt his back was against the wall?

It is not simply that Western leaders are playing a deadly game in Ukraine, they are playing a game that could result in end times.  It has to stop.  The war has to stop.

That will not happen if Harris wins on Tuesday.  She and Biden have barely uttered the word 'peace' over the last two years, these are globalist war hawks only too happy to prolong the conflict indefinitely.  The eye watering amounts of money flowing into Ukraine will continue, the war will continue.

Contrast with Trump's position: End the war as soon as possible.

He actually claims he would stop it in his first 24 hours if re-elected.  That is a bold claim and certainly one which can be taken with a pinch of salt.  But we know from his previous term that he is not a hawk and instead of isolating and antagonising our designated enemies, he speaks to them.  Who can forget his historic meeting with North Korea's Kim Jong Un, in which he became the first US president to set foot in North Korea?

If Biden and Harris won't even speak to Vladimir Putin, how on earth can there ever be peace?

While establishment media continues to promote the idea that Trump is Putin's greatest ally, they conveniently omit the fact that Russia did not attack or annexe any neighbouring state during the Trump presidency.  The Donbas War and annexation of Crimea took place in 2014 - on Obama's watch - while Ukraine was invaded in 2022 under Joe Biden.  Mass media's implication that Putin presents a greater threat under a Trump presidency does not hold up to scutiny, in fact the opposite is true.

Trump is the man who can pull us back from the brink of World War III.  Harris is the war candidate, the continuity candidate, the establishment choice.

Trump will not merely save America - or in the very least hold back the tide of the globalist onslaught against it - he can save the world.

MEME MONDAY #11

With a shocking budget in play, it was a bumper week for memes.  Rachel Reeves and Mike Amesbury featured prominently, both of which in relation to criminal acts.  One physically attacked a constituent, while the other robbed millions of Brits of their earnings, welfare and property...

Mon 28 Oct - 92 Facebook shares

Tue 29 Oct - 279 shares

Wed 30 Oct - 103 shares

Wed 30 Oct - 29 shares

Wed 30 Oct - 103 shares

Thurs 31 Oct - 166 shares

Fri 1 Nov - 66 shares

Fri 1 Nov - 319 shares

Sat 2 Nov - 317 shares

Sat 2 Nov - 196 shares

Sun 3 Nov - 24 shares

Sun 3 Nov - 70 shares

KEMI GOES MLK

Speaking to the Beeb's Laura Kuenssberg on Sunday, the presenter inevitably drew attention to Kemi Badenoch's immutable characteristics of being a black female party leader.  "What do you think of it as a milestone?" asked Kuennsberg.  Badenoch's response was pure Martin Luther King as she said: "I think the best thing will be is where we get to the point when the colour of your skin is no more remarkable than the colour of your eyes or the colour of your hair."

She added how astonished she is that Rachel Reeves goes to such great lengths to remind everyone that she is the first female Chancellor of the Exchequer.  "I think that is a very low glass ceiling within the Labour party... no more significant than what other women in this country have achieved".

Watch the clip below.

BADENOCH ELECTED TORY LEADER

Kemi Badenoch has been elected Tory leader in the membership ballot.  She defeated Robert Jenrick by a comfortable margin of 12,418 votes.  After the applause and cheering subsided, Badenoch gave her maiden speech as leader and wasted no time in taking a shot at Keir Starmer's party, asking "Isn't it great to have another woman as party leader?"

Not just a woman, a black woman.  Another first for the Tories, and succeeding their first Asian leader no less.  Meanwhile, the so-called 'progressives' over at Labour have still not elected a single female leader, let alone anyone who isn't white.  The left will be bubbling with hate at the sight of Badenoch taking the helm, just as they could not contain their hatred for other non-white Tory females such as Patel and Braverman.

Badenoch continued:  "The task ahead is tough, but simple.  First, hold the Labour government to account and second, prepare for government with a clear plan.  Keir Starmer is discovering all too late the perils of not having a plan".

Starmer has a plan, alright.  To bring this country to its knees.

Will Badenoch provide a valid alternative to his globalist net zero agenda, or can we expect more of the same left-leaning nanny state authoritarianism of Johnson and Sunak?  The latter is more likely, which is probably why the new kids on the block over at Reform won't be losing too much sleep over this appointment.

COUNCIL BY-ELECTIONS 31.10.24

Seven contests this week and just two Labour defences.  They held with a reduced majority in the deepest of red territory - Salford - but lost spectacularly to newcomers Reform in Wolverhampton.  Labour's vote share was down in all six of the seats the party contested, including almost 40 percentage points in that aforementioned Wolverhampton seat.

Sileby & Seagrove, Charnwood Borough Council

Grn: 752 (52.9%) +0.1%

Ref: 297 (20.9%) New

Con: 262 (18.4%) -8.2%

Lab: 70 (4.9%) -12.0%

LDm: 40 (2.8%) -0.8%

Grn HOLD

Bishops Waltham, Hampshire County Council

LDm: 2,210 (52.2%) +28.6%

Con: 1,431 (33.8%) -23.1%

Grn: 477 (11.3%) -2.0%

Lab: 115 (2.7%) -2.6%

LDm GAIN from Con

North Middleton, Rochdale Metropolitan Borough Council

Ind: 812 (51.7%) +8.3%

Lab: 572 (36.4%) -11.9%

Con: 108 (6.9%) +0.3%

LDm: 80 (5.1%) +3.4%

Ind HOLD

Eccles, Salford City Council

Lab: 951 (51.2%) -11.8%

Con: 426 (23.0%) +6.2%

Grn: 261 (14.1%) -0.2%

LDm: 142 (7.6%) New

TUS: 61 (4.1%) -1.8%

Lab HOLD

Bramhall South & Woodford, Stockport Metropolitan Borough Council

Con: 1,909 (47.9%) +4.6%

LDm: 1,733 (43.5%) -1.4%

Ref: 133 (3.3%) New

Lab: 115 (2.9%) -4.2%

Grn: 95 (2.4%) 2.3%

Con GAIN from LDm

Kirkby Stephen & Tebay, Westmorland and Furness Council

LDm: 887 (82.7%) +39.1%

Con: 186 (17.3%) -24.8%

LDm GAIN from Con

Bilston North, Wolverhampton City Council

Ref: 652 (34.8%) New

Lab: 471 (25.1%) -39.9%

Grn: 438 (23.4%) New

Con: 257 (13.7%) -14.3%

LDm: 55 (2.9%) -4.1%

Ref GAIN from Lab

Abbreviations

Grn = Green

Ref = Reform UK

Con = Conservative

Lab = Labour

LDm = Liberal Democrat

TUS = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition

Ind = Independents and local groups

REEVES SNUBS MARTIN LEWIS

The Chancellor snubbed an invitation to appear on Martin Lewis's prime-time Budget special on ITV last night.  We know why and he showed it.  Lewis knows a thing or two about finance - arguably more than Red Rachel - and he spent an hour dismantling her dreadful Budget and laying out the true cost for ordinary Brits.  He reminded us again on Good Morning Britain why she ran scared of him.

Watch the clip below.